Housing Market Index at Highest Since Q1 2008

The National Association of Home Builders released their 55+ Housing Market Index yesterday, and CF Funding is pleased to share that the Q1 2014 rating is now at its highest level since 2008. The 55+ HMI has now seen improvements for 10 consecutive months year-over-year. According to Steve Bomberger, chairman of the 50+ Housing Council, “Rising house prices and low interest rates are helping baby boomers sell their existing homes at a favorable price and in turn, purchase a new home more suited to their current lifestyles.” As CF Funding has mentioned previously on their blog, rising equity and low rates have also allowed many 55+ homeowners to buy second homes or remodel.

The Housing Market Index measures builder sentiment in regards to current sales, prospective buyer traffic, and anticipated six-month sales for both the single-family home market and multifamily condominiums. The results are measured on a scale of 1-100, so a result above 50 means more builders than not view conditions as “good” or traffic as “high.” This quarter, present sales rose 6 points (year-over-year) to reach 52. Expected sales for the next six months rose by 9 points (year-over-year) to reach 62. Traffic of prospective buyers remained the same from the previous quarter and year-over-year at 41.

The multifamily condo HMI rose one point to reach 39, which is the highest first-quarter reading in the 55+ HMI’s history. In Q4 2008 the multifamily condo HMI was as low as 12, and the all-time low was reached in Q2 2010 at a score of 7. Present Sales in multifamily condos saw a year-over-year increase of 4, and sales expected in the next 6 months saw a year-over-year increase of 5. Unfortunately, traffic of prospective buyers decreased year-over-year by -6, however, this quarter held steady with Q4 2013’s score of 32.

Multifamily rental indices saw a slight decrease in present production to reach 42 this quarter. Future demand increased one point to reach 59. CF Funding agrees with NAHB Chief Economist David Crowe’s statement that “The 55+ segment of the housing market is stronger now than it was a year ago… but there are still some headwinds hampering a stronger recovery.” Crowe also stated in a press release that “builders in many markets are facing tight credit conditions and lack of lots and labor.” CF Funding would like to remind those who are looking to refinance or remodel that credit guidelines have changed and those who were previously not eligible may qualify for a new mortgage or construction loan. Contact the lender today at (888)344-4080 for more information.

California's Short Sales at Lowest Since 2008

CF Funding is happy to share that California’s pending home sales increased significantly in March, while short sales dropped to a six-year low. According to the California Association of Realtors (CAR), “pending home sales increased more than usual [in March] and rose to the highest level in eight months… meanwhile, the share of short sales has fallen to levels last observed in 2008.”

Pending home sales increased 17.8 percent, and the PHSI (Pending Home Sales Index) rose from 97.1 in February to 114.4 in March. This is the highest index since July 2013. Although March of 2013 had about 9.9 percent more pending sales, the CAR says this decline “has been tapering over the past few months.” Equity sales, defined as non-distressed property sales, have increased over the past year and saw a 2.6 percent increase in March, reaching 87.6 percent. CF Funding expects that equity sales will continue to rise as the Spring season brings out more homebuyers and the economy continues to improve. In March 2013, equity sales made up only 71.8 percent of sales.

30 out of 38 counties in California saw a decrease in distressed sales month-to-month. Counties with the least amount of distressed sales included Alameda, Marin, San Diego, and Santa Clara. Alameda, Marin, and San Mateo also experienced the best year-over-year improvement (in reduced distressed sales), as well as Madera and Monterey counties. Declines in short sales and REO sales were significant across the state of California in March, falling from 15 to 12.4 percent. The C.A.R. says one year ago distressed sales were more than twice as high, reaching 28.2 percent.

As seen in the chart, equity sales have increased significantly since January 2012. Short sales and REO sales in California have drastically decreased, with REO sales declining 64 percent.

The inventory of properties declined in March (especially non-distressed), with the Unsold Inventory Index dropping from 4.8 months to 4 months, and the supply of REOs dropping from 3 months to 2.8 months. The short-sale inventory fell from 5 months in February to 4.7 months in March.

CF Funding is licensed in California, as well as Illinois, Colorado, Tennessee, Florida, and soon Texas and Virginia. Homebuyers in these states who are in need of a mortgage should contact CF Funding Corporation for a free consultation, as the lender compares rates and programs from multiple lenders. Call 888-344-4080 or visit www.cffunding.com for more information.

NAHB Compares Energy Savings to Age of Homes

In a recent blog post by the National Association of Home Builders, homes which are 4 years old or less were compared with older homes in regards to energy and routine maintenance costs. Of course, it is generally expected that older homes will have more maintenance costs. However, CF Funding was surprised to learn that 73 percent of new homeowners spend only $25 per month or less on routine maintenance. This is compared to the 26 percent of all homeowners who spend over $100 on maintenance costs.

The study compared information from the American Housing Survey (AHS) dating back to 2009. As seen in the chart on the left, the majority of homeowners in new homes pay much less on average for routine maintenance than the average homeowner.

Homeowners who are stuck in a decision between a higher-priced new home (less than 4 years old) and a less expensive older home should consider the facts. Not only do most new homeowners spend less than 25 dollars per month on routine maintenance, but the AHS also reported that new homeowners saw major savings in energy costs. Electricity costs for the average homeowner totaled about 81 cents per square foot per year, while newer homes averaged about 68 cents per square foot. Even lower electricity costs were seen in homes with piped gas, where homeowners spent about 50 cents per square foot per year.

Other utilities were reported similar results: while water bills averaged 28 cents per square foot per year, new homeowners saw average costs of 22 cents. The median trash bill for homeowners was 15 cents per square foot per year, and newer homes had a medium price of 13 cents. Not only do homeowners with properties less than 4 years old save on energy costs, but insurance costs can also be reduced, as the median property insurance for newer homes was 31 cents per square foot as opposed to the national average of 39 cents per square foot. According to the NAHB, “These reduced expenditures represent one of the many reasons that the current system of appraisals needs updating to reflect the flow of benefits that come from features in a new home.” Many of the benefits the NAHB is referring to may be seen in Green homes. As CF Funding reported in February, green homes have significantly contributed to the home construction market over the past few years and green homeowners frequently reported lower utility costs and better insulation. The lender is happy to see reduced energy costs for new homeowners as the quality of green home building continues to improve.

Both new and old homebuyers will need financing to support home purchases in 2014. Those who are home shopping this spring should contact CF Funding Corporation for a free preapproval and competitive interest rates on mortgage loans. CF Funding loan specialists are rated 5 stars on Facebook at www.facebook.com/cffundingcorp and on Yelp at http://www.yelp.com/biz/cf-funding-naperville

Foreclosures Down 35 Percent from Last Year

CF Funding is happy to share that foreclosures and shadow inventory continue to decrease, according to the February 2014 National Foreclosure Report by Corelogic. Foreclosure inventory is down 35 percent nationally from last year, and less than 1.9 million mortgages are in “serious delinquency.” CF Funding has shared previously that “foreclosures have decreased 31 percent nationally from December 2012 to December 2013” and “the U.S. has now seen over two years of declines in foreclosure inventory.” The lender hopes to see this trend continue into the rest of 2014.

The number of completed foreclosures in February 2014 was 43,000, which is down 15 percent in comparison to February 2013. February’s foreclosures are also down 13.1 percent in comparison to January 2014. As a point of comparison, Corelogic points out that “before the decline in the housing market in 2007, completed foreclosures averaged 21,000 per month nationwide between 2000 and 2006.” CF Funding hopes to see a continued decline to surpass previous foreclosure levels as the housing market improves. Fortunately, February marks the 14^th consecutive month of a 20 percent or more year-over-year decrease in the inventory of foreclosed homes.

The five states with the highest foreclosure inventory in the February 2014 report were New Jersey (6.2 percent), Florida (6.0 percent), New York (4.7 percent), Maine (3.4 percent), and Connecticut (3.2 percent). The five states with the lowest foreclosure inventory were Wyoming (0.3 percent), Alaska (0.4 percent), North Dakota (0.5 percent), Nebraska (0.5 percent), and Colorado (0.6 percent). The state of Illinois currently has a foreclosure inventory of 2.7 percent (-1.8 percent from a year ago) and had 24,210 completed foreclosures in the past 12 months as of February. The serious delinquency rate for Illinois is 6.3 percent. 34 states have shown year-over-year foreclosure inventory decreases of more than 30 percent (with Arizona showing more than 50 percent declines).

CF Funding is very optimistic about the future of the housing industry, as Corelogic reported that “the 12-month sum of completed foreclosures is at [the] lowest point since December 2007 and has declined every month for the past 26 consecutive months.” Shadow inventory, defined as “properties that are more than 90 days delinquent, in foreclosure and held as real estate owned (REO) by mortgage servicers,” has decreased 22 percent from January 2013 to January 2014. Almost half of the current shadow inventory (about 1.7 million) are homes that are not yet foreclosed. As seen in the chart above, the shadow inventory has continued to decrease since about January 2011.

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