Remodelers' Outlook Positive, Real Estate Changes on the Horizon

CF Funding is happy to share that remodelers’ ratings of current market conditions have increased to a score of 56 in the second quarter of 2014. In the NAHB’s quarterly survey, the Remodeling Market Index (RMI) rose three points, “reclaiming the territory it had lost during what was likely a weather-related dip in the first three months of the year,” according to a blog post today by Paul Emrath. A score of 50 or higher is positive, as more than half of remodelers in the survey reported high market activity, a great indicator for future activity.

The survey measures current conditions with 3 factors: major additions/alterations, minor additions/alterations, and maintenance /repair. In Q2 2012 scores were as low as 42 in some categories, and in Q2 2014 all scores were above 53. Future market indicators such as calls for bids, amount of work committed for the next 3 months, backlog of remodeling jobs, and appointments for proposals were also all above 53. Improvement in the jobs market has impacted the RMI, as homeowners have regained equity and confidence in the housing market has increased.

In other real estate news today, Realtors may be surprised to hear that Zillow Inc. is seeking to purchase Trulia Inc., and the two rival real estate websites may combine in the near future. The two websites are used by realtors, homebuyers, and home sellers to list homes and apartments for sale or rent. The companies make money by charging realtors and homesellers a fee for advertising. In June, the sites had over 85 million visitors and acquired almost 90 percent of traffic out of the 15 most visited real estate sites. According to Bloomberg Businessweek, Zillow may pay up to 2 billion dollars to acquire its rival site, and two-thirds of the price may be paid with Zillow stock. Both companies saw a rise in stock today, with Zillow rising more than 15 percent and Trulia rising 32 percent. Trulia’s revenue is expected to increase 76 percent this year to reach 253 million dollars, and Zillow’s revenue is expected to increase about 58 percent, reaching 311 million dollars.

Rumors of the two companies merging have not been publicly confirmed by members of either company. Regardless of the outcome, CF Funding hopes to see the sites continue to support realtors, FSBOs, and homebuyers as they buy and sell properties. Realtors and other home sellers who need assistance using these online tools to list properties may contact CF Funding today by calling 630-328-8905.

Americans are Buying Second Homes As Market Recovers

According to Fannie Mae’s report released Monday, titled “Second Homes: Recovery Post Financial Crisis,” the second home mortgage market is recovering after the housing market crash, and is expected to continue to grow. CF Funding is happy to share this sign of economic recovery. The Housing Insights report shared that second home mortgage origination has averaged about 4.6 percent of the total purchase market since 1998, and it has grown in the past few years. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have acquired about 64 percent of these second home purchase mortgages.

The National Association of Realtors’ survey of second home buyers, which was released last week, is used in the report to share general characteristics of second home buyers vs. those of primary residence buyers (those who have only one home). The typical second home buyer was profiled as about 47 years old, as opposed to a primary home buyer’s average age of 38. A second home buyer usually comes from a two-earner household and has a median household income of $90,660, whereas the primary homebuyer has a median household income of $74,580. The average second home buyer finances the purchase of their home about 61 percent of the time and usually puts down a larger down payment on their home than a primary homebuyer.

The increase in second home buying correlates with CF Funding’s April 2 article titled “Vacation Sales Rise Strongly in NAR Survey,” as the lender observed that more high-net-worth households gained enough confidence in the housing market to buy a recreational property last year. Fannie Mae also mentioned that “34 percent of all second home mortgages have been originated on properties located in Florida, California, and Arizona,” which makes sense as these states are located in warmer climates where many purchase vacation homes. Read the full CF Funding article here.

Fannie Mae also shared a history of the second home mortgage market, as the second home share of PMM has more than tripled from the late 90’s through about 2006, then declined through 2009. This is relatively consistent with the cycle of the real estate market. Since 2009, the second home mortgages share of all purchases has increased, as “private lenders are increasingly more willing to lend to second home borrowers.” During the housing peak (around March 2006), the share of second home mortgages peaked at more than 15 times its share compared to 1998 volumes, while other purchase mortgages were at less than 4 times their 1998 mortgages.

Although the population aged 45-64, who are most likely to buy a second home, is expected to grow more slowly than the rest of the adult population through 2060, it is still predicted that second homes will occupy a large part of real estate and mortgage business in the years to come. CF Funding looks forward to assisting second home buyers in financing their new home purchase. 

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